Lucia Cortez Llorca vs Ayano Shimizu Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Regarding second serve efficiency in recent months, Llorca edges out with a 36.22% win percentage compared to Shimizu's 34.8%. Could this minor advantage play a significant role in the outcome?
• Examining return game statistics for recent form, Shimizu has the upper hand in returning opponent's second serves at 53.09%, while Llorca trails at 51.45%.
• For first serve returns in the latest form, Llorca surpasses Shimizu with a 35.7% win rate versus 33.84%.
• Under pressure analysis reveals Llorca as more reliable, saving 48.02% of breakpoints, against Shimizu's 40.63% success rate.
• Looking at match performance over the past year, Shimizu has a higher win percentage at 62.9%, contrasting with Llorca's 36.59%.
• Both players boast their best win percentages on clay, with Shimizu having a slight edge at 63% compared to Llorca's 54%.
• Recent matches at the Challenger/ITF > $10K level see Shimizu achieving a 61.11% win rate as opposed to Llorca's 38.46%, indicating a stronger recent performance.
• Analyzing opponent quality, Shimizu competes against higher-ranked players with an average ranking of 397.29, while Llorca's opponents average at 420.95.
• In deciding set scenarios over the past year, Shimizu leads with a 63% win rate, compared to Llorca's 50%, suggesting better performance under decisive pressure.
• Regarding breakpoint conversion in recent form, Shimizu is more effective at 44.5% compared to Llorca's 41.8%, highlighting a potential advantage in critical moments.

Editorial Prediction (July 31, 2025, UTC):

A close examination of recent statistics reveals that Shimizu possesses a slight but consistent advantage in several key areas. Despite Llorca's slightly better second serve efficiency, Shimizu demonstrates superior return game stats, especially against second serves, and boasts a better breakpoint conversion rate.

Both players prefer clay, where Shimizu holds a marginal edge in win percentage. Shimizu's performance metrics, particularly against higher-caliber opponents, further underline her potential advantage.

Performance in crucial moments, indicated by Shimizu's higher rate of winning deciding sets and breakpoint conversions, suggests she can handle match pressure more effectively.

Considering these aspects, Shimizu is likely the stronger contender for this upcoming match.